The PROCAM-Algorithm for men (Cox proportional hazards model).
The PROCAM-Algorithm, described in the Pocket Guide to Prevention of Coronary Heart Disease (2002: page 27/128), estimates the risk for acute coronary events within 10 years (ACE = fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction [AMI] or sudden coronary death) based on measurements of the 8 risk factors as noted below (y-coefficients) statistically evaluated by the Cox proportional hazards model in the PROCAM cohort with 325 ACE in 4818 men aged 35-65 years within 10 years. The PROCAM-Algorithm has an advantage over the PROCAM-Score in calculating the effects of treatment on coronary risk and also avoids the distorsion that may occur when risk is calculated in persons whose risk factors lie at the border between two risk factor categories.
log(TGL) means logarithmus naturalis (ln, elog) of triglycerides.
The probability for CHD in % within 10 years is:   P = 100 x (1 - 0.9369a)   for a = exp(y).
y risk factors inmmol/L (input range) range)
y = - 8.9769
+0.103 x age (35-65 years)
+ 0.010 x systolic blood pressure (100-225 mmHg)
+0.5026 x LDL-cholesterol (1.94-6.48 mmol/l)  rsp. 0.013 x LDL-C(75-250 mg/dl)
-1.2372 x HDL-cholesterol (0.65-1.94 mmol/l) rsp. 0.032 x HDL-C (25-75 mg/dl)
+0.317 x log(TGL x 88.57) (0.57-4.56 mmol/l)  rsp.0.317 x log(TGL) (50-400 mg/dl)
+0.658 x cigarette smokingx (0=no,1=yes)  anycigarette during the past 12 months
+0.399 x diabetes mellitusx (0=no,1=yes) known DM or fasting
blood glucose levels
>= 6.66 mmol/l (120 mg/dl)
+0.382 x myocardial infarction
in family history
x (0=no,1=yes)  MIin 1st degree relativebefore the age of 60 years

- PROCAM (D:)  female without diabetes→  0.25 x P
- AGLA 2003 (CH:)  men and female postmenopausal→  0.7 x P
 female without diabetes premenopausal→  0.25 x 0.7 x P